Want a main event seat? Do this:
Okay.... I am re-posting this info because the WSOP is about to hold a mega for the main event...Good luck!
After careful consideration, I have decided to share with you (my BLOG readers.... Where ever you are) my method for goal achieval in Mega Satellites. This process was developed after long hours of research on the internet. You should know that prior to employing this method, I was getting seats to the main event in about 1/4 of the Megas I played. Using this method, I am currently, 9 out of 12. One seat I did not get was because I played very badly, very early and never got to the stage where this formula would apply. The other two were simply because the field was so small, the number variance could not adjust.... I learned from this. So here we go.
What is a Mega tournament? A Mega is a tournament that will award seats to a Main event. The number of seats to be awarded varies based on the number of entries in the Mega. If the Mega entry fee is $550... It is probably for a $5150 Main event, and they will award one seat per every ten players.
First...... Try to play Megas where the number will allow for at lease 8 seats. If the number of seats to be awarded drops much below this number, you will find that the formula will l lose it's wiggle room for variance. Remember, nothing is absolute. Even formulas like this one require a measurable level of variance.
Okay.... Now you see a Mega developing and it already has 100 players signed up. The buy in is $550 and the are giving seats to a $5150 main event. There is still time to sign up and you see a line at the registration counter.... You jump in! When the tournament starts.... There are 144 players and you are starting with 4000 in chips. This puts 576,000 chips in play..... But, by the time you reach the end of late entries... there are now 162 players in the field....
These are your important starting number: 648,000 chips in play. $89,100 entry fees in the pool. 17 seats to be awarded, and $1550 dollars for the 18th spot. The truth is.... We don't care about the 18th spot cuz we are shooting for victory.... But is important to note!
Now listen up!.... Once you know the number of seats to be awarded, you divide the total number of chips in play; 648,000 divided by 17 seats = 38,117 . This will be the average chip stack when the seats are awarded. That is only half of what you need to know.... This other half has come from indepth research on my part, and I don't know enough about deep math to explain why it works... only that my record speaks for itself!
If you take the average stack when the seats are to be awarded X's .075 you get 28,587. Statistically, this will be the BOTTOM chip count when the seats are awarded. Now it is true that there will be variances, but at least now you have a base line to go from. Here is what I do:
I play to get my stack anywhere between those two numbers (The average and the bottom of the chip counts at seat achieval) Once I am in that zone.... I quit playing! Now here is the tough part for most poker players.... I don't slow way down, I don't play only Aces or Kings or Queens. I would never actually know if I had, because I quit looking at my cards unless my stack falls below that bottom number. If it does, I start looking at only one card.... If I like it, I look at the other, If I don't like it, I fold without looking at the other. I focus on position as another major factor if I am to involve myself in a hand. Through this very tight play, I am able to get back into that zone.... Sometimes, you don't get back, but remember, there are variances. Out of the 9 times I have applied this technique to win seats, 3 of those, my count was a little below the bottom number. Since I know there were multiple players with smaller stacks than mine, I simply wait them out and let them go down fighting for chips.... It is the natural inclination we would all have as short stacks....
So, in a nut shell: Chips in play times number of players for total chips in play! Number of seats to be awarded divided into the total number of chips in play = average stack at the end of the tournament. Average stack size x's .075 = Bottom chip count (last seat to win) when seats are awarded.... Stay in that zone at all cost. Once you are there, slow to a stop unless you drop below, then play ultra tight. Consider position, while only looking at one card, if you like it, look at the second. If you like that one two, play to get back in the zone, then stop again, until the event concludes.... remember, the other short stacks don't know this! They will think they MUST get chips to get a seat! Let them try!
Jaqueline says:
Thanks for the excellent review!
March 11th, 2010 at 9:58 AM